Housing in South Africa: How have we done since 1994?

We’ve made progress but the quality of the data is poor, especially the latest census

Blikkiesdorp is a so-called Temporary Relocation Area in Cape Town. Although supposedly temporary, people could end up living here for decades. Archive photo from 2018: Ashraf Hendricks

• The state, according to its records, has provided 5-million brick and mortar houses or serviced plots since 1994.
• There are 2.5-million households on the National Housing Needs Register according to the Minister of Human Settlements.
• Yet the latest census indicates that 1.4-million households are informal (shacks).
• There appear to be serious shortcomings with the latest census and the number of informal households has likely been severely undercounted.

Houses for all South Africans was one of the main goals of the ANC government when it was elected in 1994. Nearly 30 years later, and with the 2022 census released this month, how much progress has been made?

To put this article together we looked at several documents published by the government, including the censuses. There are severe shortcomings with the data as we show.

Also, reliable data on people who are homeless, as in living on the street, is hard to come by, so it is not included in this article. However, it is in the low hundreds of thousands at most, which is a serious concern, albeit a very small proportion of the population.

We also don’t consider quality of formal state housing or location in this article.

How many houses has the state provided?

In 1994, the government started providing houses through the Reconstruction and Development Programme (RDP), now called Breaking New Ground (BNG).

This was required by the Constitution. Section 26 says that everyone has the right to have access to adequate housing. It also says that the state must take reasonable legislative and other measures, within its available resources, to realise this right.

South Africa’s original goal with the Breaking New Ground program was to eradicate informal housing by 2014.

The state has provided approximately 5-million “housing opportunities” from 1994 to February 2022, according to a May 2022 Department of Human Settlements (DHS) report. A housing opportunity can be an actual house or only a plot of land with access to piped water and electricity. Beneficiaries are required to pay for water and electricity and municipal rates.

There are 2.5-million households on the National Housing Needs Register as of February 2023, according to the Minister of Human Settlements. In Cape Town alone, there are 375,150 people on the register, News24 reported in May. It’s hard to know though how accurately these numbers reflect actual demand.

Housing delivery goals set by the Department of Human Settlements as of 2016. MTSF stands for Medium Term Strategic Framework. Source: Department of Human Settlements

In what kind of houses do people live?

There have been censuses in 1996, 2001, 2011 and 2022. Households are divided into “formal” (which means a brick and mortar home), “informal“ (which means a shack in an informal settlement or backyard), ”traditional“ (huts, rondavels or other structures made of clay, mud, reeds or local natural materials), and “other”.

The table and graph below, whose numbers are taken directly from census documents, show how this has changed over time.

Year

Formal

Informal

Traditional